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Ein seriöses, aber lockeres Gespräch über die Börse
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Noch ein kräftig schwächelnder Immobilienmarkt-Indikator: Architecture Billings Index

25. April, 2008 ·

Was es ist Amerika nicht alles gibt… an statistischem Material. Zum Beispiel der Architecture Billings Index vom American Institure of Architects (AIA):

The Architecture Billings Index is derived from a monthly “Work-on-the-Boards” survey and produced by the AIA Economics & Market Research Group. Based on a comparison of data compiled since the survey’s inception in 1995 with figures from the Department of Commerce on Construction Put in Place, the findings amount to a leading economic indicator that provides an approximately nine to twelve month glimpse into the future of nonresidential construction activity. The diffusion indexes contained in the full report are derived from a monthly survey sent to a panel of AIA member-owned firms. Participants are asked whether their billings increased, decreased, or stayed the same in the month that just ended. According to the proportion of respondents choosing each option, a score is generated, which represents an index value for each month.

Und dieser ist gerade stark am Fallen:

Emblematic of the various struggling sectors in the overall economy, the Architecture Billings Index (ABI) dropped two points in March and fell to its lowest level since the survey’s inception in 1995. As a leading economic indicator of construction activity, the ABI shows an approximate nine to twelve month lag time between architecture billings and construction spending. The American Institute of Architects (AIA) reported the March ABI rating dropped to 39.7, following its steep 9-point decline in February (any score above 50 indicates an increase in billings). The inquiries for new projects score was 48.0, also the lowest mark for the survey.

[...]

Key March ABI highlights:

  • Regional averages: South (45.3), Northeast (38.7), West (38.7), Midwest (36.9)
  • Sector index breakdown: institutional (50.8), commercial / industrial (38.3) multi-family residential (31.7)
  • Project inquiries index: 48.0

Beide Zitate: aia.org, Architecture Billings Index Drops to its Lowest Level Ever

Grafik des Index: Calculated Risk

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